Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alexander Alberto

TB · AAA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score68.9#231 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance62Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor59Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
62Solid current performance
Miss ability10.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.7 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.7 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Slider60
Control40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh86How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.3
Projected Range22–71
Arrival Probability40%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 63
67 59 51 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.3 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
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2026-09-1462.3
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2026-09-0555
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256