Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alexander Padilla

DET · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score27.5#4,973 Overall
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling48High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command7.8 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping38How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited93Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 36
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.1 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1436.1
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236