Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alexey Lumpuy

CHC · High-A · CF · Age 23

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score51.0#1,573 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.787 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact29.6% KContact risk
On-base foundation.376 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection29.2
Projected Range14–45
Arrival Probability27%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelHigh-A
PositionCF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 47
54 48.5 43 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.5 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-10-05 · Median 47 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0547
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.5
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0250