Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Alfonso Perez

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,335
Score13.2
Baseline21
Signal-5.7
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline21
Ceiling33
Confidence27 Risk90 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Alfonso Perez

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 21.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,335
Prospect Score13.2
Median21
Performance Signal-5.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202133
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 21 Latest recorded 21
26 21 16 2026-08-16 · Median 21 2026-08-17 · Median 21 2026-08-18 · Median 21 2026-08-19 · Median 21 2026-08-20 · Median 21 2026-08-22 · Median 21 2026-08-23 · Median 20.6 2026-08-25 · Median 20.6 2026-08-27 · Median 20.6 2026-08-28 · Median 20.6 2026-09-01 · Median 20.6 2026-09-02 · Median 20.3 2026-09-03 · Median 20.3 2026-09-05 · Median 20.3 2026-09-06 · Median 20.3 2026-09-09 · Median 21.2 2026-09-14 · Median 21.2 2026-09-15 · Median 21.2 2026-09-16 · Median 21 2026-09-17 · Median 21 2026-09-18 · Median 21 2026-09-19 · Median 21 2026-09-21 · Median 21 2026-09-22 · Median 21 2026-09-24 · Median 21 2026-09-25 · Median 21 2026-09-29 · Median 21 2026-09-30 · Median 21 2026-10-03 · Median 21 2026-10-04 · Median 21 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 21

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0421
2026-10-0321
2026-09-3021
2026-09-2921
2026-09-2521
2026-09-2421
2026-09-2221
2026-09-2121
2026-09-1921
2026-09-1821
2026-09-1721
2026-09-1621
2026-09-1521.2
2026-09-1421.2
2026-09-0921.2
2026-09-0620.3
2026-09-0520.3
2026-09-0320.3
2026-09-0220.3
2026-09-0120.6
2026-08-2820.6
2026-08-2720.6
2026-08-2520.6
2026-08-2320.6
2026-08-2221
2026-08-2021
2026-08-1921
2026-08-1821
2026-08-1721
2026-08-1621

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 27
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 90
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202133
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.7

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 90
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence27
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.