Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alfredo Alcantara

CIN · High-A · SS · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score57.7#868 Overall
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.677 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact25.9% KNear expected range
Approach11.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power40
Run45
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.3
Projected Range22–53
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 51
55 50 45 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.9 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-10-05 · Median 51 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0551
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2026-09-3051
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2026-09-1450.9
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2026-09-0249