Player profile
Alirio Ferrebus
Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 21.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 3, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#458
Prospect Score63.5
Median59
Performance Signal+23.5
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.5
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 44
Latest recorded 59
2026-10-03 · Median 59
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 59 |
| 2026-09-30 | 59 |
| 2026-09-29 | 59 |
| 2026-09-25 | 59 |
| 2026-09-24 | 59 |
| 2026-09-22 | 59 |
| 2026-09-21 | 59 |
| 2026-09-19 | 59 |
| 2026-09-18 | 59 |
| 2026-09-17 | 59 |
| 2026-09-16 | 59 |
| 2026-09-15 | 59 |
| 2026-09-14 | 59 |
| 2026-09-09 | 59 |
| 2026-09-06 | 55 |
| 2026-09-05 | 55 |
| 2026-09-03 | 55 |
| 2026-09-02 | 55 |
| 2026-09-01 | 55 |
| 2026-08-28 | 55 |
| 2026-08-27 | 55 |
| 2026-08-20 | 44.4 |
| 2026-08-19 | 44 |
| 2026-08-18 | 44 |
| 2026-08-17 | 44 |
| 2026-08-16 | 44 |
| 2026-08-14 | 44 |
| 2026-08-13 | 44 |
| 2026-08-11 | 44 |
| 2026-08-10 | 44 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
90
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
12
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.