Player Profile
Amilcar Chirinos
HOU · AA · P · Age 25
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score50.9#1,578 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor42Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence51Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.2 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command7.1 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.6 HR/9Limits damaging contact
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.6
Projected Range15–64
Arrival Probability19%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 50
Latest recorded 49
2026-10-05 · Median 49
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 49 |
| 2026-10-04 | 49 |
| 2026-10-03 | 49 |
| 2026-09-30 | 49 |
| 2026-09-29 | 49 |
| 2026-09-25 | 49 |
| 2026-09-24 | 49 |
| 2026-09-22 | 49 |
| 2026-09-21 | 49 |
| 2026-09-19 | 49 |
| 2026-09-18 | 49 |
| 2026-09-17 | 49 |
| 2026-09-16 | 49 |
| 2026-09-15 | 49 |
| 2026-09-14 | 48.9 |
| 2026-09-09 | 49 |
| 2026-09-06 | 50 |
| 2026-09-05 | 50 |
| 2026-09-03 | 50 |
| 2026-09-02 | 50 |