Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Andrew Bash

ATH · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,471
Score7.3
Baseline11
Signal-42.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline11
Ceiling24
Confidence60 Risk60 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Andrew Bash

ATH · AAA · P

Athletics · Age at assessment: 30.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,471
Prospect Score7.3
Median11
Performance Signal-42.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
201124
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -42.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 10 Latest recorded 11
16 10.5 5 2026-07-16 · Median 10 2026-07-21 · Median 10 2026-07-22 · Median 10 2026-07-23 · Median 10 2026-07-24 · Median 9 2026-08-20 · Median 9 2026-08-22 · Median 9 2026-08-23 · Median 9 2026-08-27 · Median 9 2026-08-28 · Median 9 2026-09-01 · Median 9 2026-09-02 · Median 9 2026-09-03 · Median 9 2026-09-05 · Median 9 2026-09-06 · Median 9 2026-09-09 · Median 11.2 2026-09-14 · Median 11.3 2026-09-15 · Median 11.3 2026-09-16 · Median 11 2026-09-17 · Median 11 2026-09-18 · Median 11 2026-09-19 · Median 11 2026-09-21 · Median 11 2026-09-22 · Median 11 2026-09-24 · Median 11 2026-09-25 · Median 11 2026-09-29 · Median 11 2026-09-30 · Median 11 2026-10-03 · Median 11 2026-10-04 · Median 11 2026-07-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 11

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0411
2026-10-0311
2026-09-3011
2026-09-2911
2026-09-2511
2026-09-2411
2026-09-2211
2026-09-2111
2026-09-1911
2026-09-1811
2026-09-1711
2026-09-1611
2026-09-1511.3
2026-09-1411.3
2026-09-0911.2
2026-09-069
2026-09-059
2026-09-039
2026-09-029
2026-09-019
2026-08-289
2026-08-279
2026-08-239
2026-08-229
2026-08-209
2026-07-249
2026-07-2310
2026-07-2210
2026-07-2110
2026-07-1610

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
201124
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -42.0

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 60
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.0
Projected range12–62
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.