Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Andrés Nolaya

BAL · High-A · C · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score57.8#863 Overall
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor47Lower-end outcome
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.789 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact17.4% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.377 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range21–55
Arrival Probability40%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelHigh-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 54
59 50 41 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 54.1 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-10-05 · Median 54 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0554
2026-10-0454
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1454.1
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245