Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Angel Cepeda

CHC · AA · SS · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score69.1#220 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Offensive impact.809 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact28.1% KContact risk
Approach13.3% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit40
Power45
Run50
Field50
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-02

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.3
Projected Range19–54
Arrival Probability48%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 65
69 59 49 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.7 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
2026-09-2965
2026-09-2565
2026-09-2465
2026-09-2265
2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1665
2026-09-1565
2026-09-1456.7
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253