Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Anthony Simonelli

KC · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,146
Score17.1
Baseline20
Signal-30.6
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline20
Ceiling29
Confidence51 Risk49 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Anthony Simonelli

KC · AA · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 27.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,146
Prospect Score17.1
Median20
Performance Signal-30.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202029
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -30.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 21 Latest recorded 20
26 21 16 2026-08-16 · Median 21 2026-08-17 · Median 21 2026-08-18 · Median 21 2026-08-19 · Median 21 2026-08-20 · Median 21 2026-08-22 · Median 21 2026-08-23 · Median 20.8 2026-08-25 · Median 20.8 2026-08-27 · Median 20.8 2026-08-28 · Median 20.8 2026-09-01 · Median 20.8 2026-09-02 · Median 20.8 2026-09-03 · Median 20.8 2026-09-05 · Median 20.8 2026-09-06 · Median 20.8 2026-09-09 · Median 21.9 2026-09-14 · Median 20.8 2026-09-15 · Median 20.8 2026-09-16 · Median 21 2026-09-17 · Median 21 2026-09-18 · Median 21 2026-09-19 · Median 21 2026-09-21 · Median 21 2026-09-22 · Median 21 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0420
2026-10-0320
2026-09-3020
2026-09-2920
2026-09-2520
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2221
2026-09-2121
2026-09-1921
2026-09-1821
2026-09-1721
2026-09-1621
2026-09-1520.8
2026-09-1420.8
2026-09-0921.9
2026-09-0620.8
2026-09-0520.8
2026-09-0320.8
2026-09-0220.8
2026-09-0120.8
2026-08-2820.8
2026-08-2720.8
2026-08-2520.8
2026-08-2320.8
2026-08-2221
2026-08-2021
2026-08-1921
2026-08-1821
2026-08-1721
2026-08-1621

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202029
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -30.6

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 49
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence51
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range15–64
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.