Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Antony Aparicio

HOU · FCL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,041
Score18.8
Baseline26
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline26
Ceiling38
Confidence22 Risk81 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Antony Aparicio

HOU · FCL · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 24.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,041
Prospect Score18.8
Median26
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202638
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 26 Change +0.1
31 26 21 2026-08-27 · Median 25.9 2026-08-28 · Median 25.9 2026-09-01 · Median 25.9 2026-09-02 · Median 25.9 2026-09-03 · Median 25.9 2026-09-05 · Median 25.9 2026-09-06 · Median 25.9 2026-09-09 · Median 26.1 2026-09-14 · Median 26.1 2026-09-15 · Median 26.1 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1526.1
2026-09-1426.1
2026-09-0926.1
2026-09-0625.9
2026-09-0525.9
2026-09-0325.9
2026-09-0225.9
2026-09-0125.9
2026-08-2825.9
2026-08-2725.9

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 81
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202638
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 81
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence22
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.