Player profile
Ariel Dilone
San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 19.1 · Bats: L · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.
PB Rank#5,952
Prospect Score20.0
Median28
Performance Signal-7.2
Trend-1.5
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range-1.5
202839
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.2
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 29
Latest recorded 28
2026-10-04 · Median 28
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 28 |
| 2026-10-03 | 29 |
| 2026-09-30 | 29 |
| 2026-09-29 | 29 |
| 2026-09-25 | 29 |
| 2026-09-24 | 29 |
| 2026-09-22 | 29 |
| 2026-09-21 | 29 |
| 2026-09-19 | 29 |
| 2026-09-18 | 29 |
| 2026-09-17 | 29 |
| 2026-09-16 | 29 |
| 2026-09-15 | 29 |
| 2026-09-14 | 28.6 |
| 2026-09-09 | 28.6 |
| 2026-09-06 | 28.3 |
| 2026-09-05 | 28.3 |
| 2026-09-03 | 28.3 |
| 2026-09-02 | 28.3 |
| 2026-09-01 | 28.3 |
| 2026-08-28 | 28.3 |
| 2026-08-27 | 28.3 |
| 2026-08-25 | 28.6 |
| 2026-08-23 | 28.6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 29 |
| 2026-08-20 | 29 |
| 2026-08-19 | 29 |
| 2026-08-18 | 29 |
| 2026-08-17 | 29 |
| 2026-08-16 | 29 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Declining
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
39
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
85
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.