Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Arol Vera

LAA · AAA · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,741
Score49.6
Baseline48
Signal-25.5
Trend-0.6
Floor40
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence62 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Arol Vera

LAA · AAA · SS

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,741
Prospect Score49.6
Median48
Performance Signal-25.5
Trend-0.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.6
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -25.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 48
57 50 43 2026-07-12 · Median 53 2026-07-14 · Median 53 2026-07-16 · Median 53 2026-07-21 · Median 52 2026-07-22 · Median 52 2026-07-23 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.3 2026-08-25 · Median 50.7 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.4 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-07-12 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.4
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2550.7
2026-08-2351.3
2026-07-2352
2026-07-2252
2026-07-2152
2026-07-1653
2026-07-1453
2026-07-1253

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.6
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -25.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection31.2
Projected range14–48
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.