Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Austin Overn

TB · AA · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#495
Score62.7
Baseline59
Signal+19.3
Trend0.0
Floor55
Baseline59
Ceiling64
Confidence92 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Austin Overn

TB · AA · OF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#495
Prospect Score62.7
Median59
Performance Signal+19.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
555964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 59
65 57 49 2026-08-11 · Median 54 2026-08-13 · Median 54 2026-08-14 · Median 54 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 53.8 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.5 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 59 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0459
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1460.5
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2053.8
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654
2026-08-1454
2026-08-1354
2026-08-1154

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 92
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
555964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence92
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.0
Projected range22–56
Arrival probability65%
Productive role probability8%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.