Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Austin Roberts

TEX · AAA · P · Age 28

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score30.1#4,569 Overall
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Performance48Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
48Developing performance profile
Miss ability13.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.6 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid40Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.9
Projected Range19–69
Arrival Probability20%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 18 Latest recorded 31 Change +12.8
35 24.5 14 2026-09-02 · Median 18.2 2026-09-03 · Median 18.2 2026-09-05 · Median 18.2 2026-09-06 · Median 18.2 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.4 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-10-05 · Median 31 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0531
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
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2026-09-2131
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2026-09-0929
2026-09-0618.2
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2026-09-0218.2