Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Austin Smith

COL · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score24.8#5,396 Overall
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling33High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.8 K/9Near expected range
Command6.9 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.50 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid37Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.5
Projected Range12–61
Arrival Probability6%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 25 Latest recorded 26
31 26 21 2026-09-02 · Median 25 2026-09-03 · Median 25 2026-09-05 · Median 25 2026-09-06 · Median 25 2026-09-09 · Median 26 2026-09-14 · Median 26.2 2026-09-15 · Median 26 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-10-05 · Median 26 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0526
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