Player profile
Austin Vernon
Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 27.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.
PB Rank#5,809
Prospect Score21.8
Median31
Performance Signal+2.1
Trend-3.1
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range-3.1
233145
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.1
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 16
Latest recorded 31
2026-10-04 · Median 31
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 31 |
| 2026-10-03 | 31 |
| 2026-09-30 | 31 |
| 2026-09-29 | 31 |
| 2026-09-25 | 31 |
| 2026-09-24 | 31 |
| 2026-09-22 | 31 |
| 2026-09-21 | 31 |
| 2026-09-19 | 31 |
| 2026-09-18 | 31 |
| 2026-09-17 | 31 |
| 2026-09-16 | 31 |
| 2026-09-15 | 31 |
| 2026-09-14 | 31.4 |
| 2026-09-09 | 31 |
| 2026-09-06 | 29 |
| 2026-09-05 | 29 |
| 2026-09-03 | 29 |
| 2026-09-02 | 29 |
| 2026-09-01 | 29 |
| 2026-08-28 | 29.1 |
| 2026-08-27 | 30 |
| 2026-08-25 | 16.1 |
| 2026-08-23 | 16.1 |
| 2026-08-22 | 16 |
| 2026-08-20 | 16 |
| 2026-08-19 | 16 |
| 2026-08-18 | 16 |
| 2026-08-17 | 16 |
| 2026-08-16 | 16 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Declining
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
32
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
87
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.