Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Barrett Morgan

BOS · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.8#263 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance66Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
66Solid current performance
Miss ability9.5 K/9Near expected range
Command3.5 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.2 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection52.7
Projected Range28–78
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 64
69 61 53 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 64.2 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 64 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 64 2026-09-21 · Median 64 2026-09-22 · Median 64 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-09-25 · Median 64 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
2026-10-0464
2026-10-0364
2026-09-3064
2026-09-2964
2026-09-2564
2026-09-2464
2026-09-2264
2026-09-2164
2026-09-1964
2026-09-1864
2026-09-1764
2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1464.2
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259