Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ben Abeldt

TEX · ACL · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws L
Prospect Score35.1#3,853 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance33Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
33Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.8 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.1 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball60
Slider55
Changeup50
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-14

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh80How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping46Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.4
Projected Range21–70
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 35
39 34.5 30 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.7 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
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2026-09-2135
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2026-09-1434.7
2026-09-0935
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2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235