Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ben Davis

COL · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#4,417
Score31.2
Baseline39
Signal-1.6
Trend+3.0
Floor24
Baseline39
Ceiling52
Confidence35 Risk80 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Ben Davis

COL · Single-A · P

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#4,417
Prospect Score31.2
Median39
Performance Signal-1.6
Trend+3.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+3.0
243952
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 39
49 41.5 34 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 43.7 2026-08-25 · Median 43.7 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 38 2026-09-14 · Median 38.1 2026-09-15 · Median 38 2026-09-16 · Median 38 2026-09-17 · Median 38 2026-09-18 · Median 38 2026-09-19 · Median 38 2026-09-21 · Median 38 2026-09-22 · Median 38 2026-09-24 · Median 38 2026-09-25 · Median 38 2026-09-29 · Median 38 2026-09-30 · Median 38 2026-10-03 · Median 38 2026-10-04 · Median 39 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 39

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0439
2026-10-0338
2026-09-3038
2026-09-2938
2026-09-2538
2026-09-2438
2026-09-2238
2026-09-2138
2026-09-1938
2026-09-1838
2026-09-1738
2026-09-1638
2026-09-1538
2026-09-1438.1
2026-09-0938
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2543.7
2026-08-2343.7
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Improving
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 35
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 80
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+3.0
243952
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.6

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 80
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence35
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.