Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ben Peterson

SF · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,400
Score52.1
Baseline51
Signal-1.0
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline51
Ceiling62
Confidence55 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Ben Peterson

SF · AA · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 25.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,400
Prospect Score52.1
Median51
Performance Signal-1.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435162
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 51
55 39.5 24 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.9 2026-08-25 · Median 46.9 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.5 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.5
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.9
2026-08-2346.9
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435162
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence55
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.3
Projected range26–75
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.