Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Bernard Jose

SD · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score53.6#1,237 Overall
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor44Lower-end outcome
Baseline51Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.8 K/9Near expected range
Command4.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.52 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.9
Projected Range16–66
Arrival Probability14%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 51
60 53.5 47 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.2 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-10-05 · Median 51 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0551
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.2
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256