Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Billy Carlson

CWS · Single-A · SS IL(7-Day)

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power not yet translating

The verified power grade is running ahead of current game power. ISO and slugging are the clearest checkpoints

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#429
Prospect Score64
Median65
Performance48
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 25th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.083

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+20.2 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 62
Game Power-25.0 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 25

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 65
72 65.5 59 2026-07-23 · Median 68 2026-07-24 · Median 64 2026-07-25 · Median 64 2026-07-26 · Median 64 2026-07-27 · Median 64 2026-07-28 · Median 64 2026-07-29 · Median 64 2026-07-30 · Median 64 2026-07-31 · Median 64 2026-08-01 · Median 64 2026-08-03 · Median 64 2026-08-05 · Median 64 2026-08-07 · Median 64 2026-08-08 · Median 64 2026-08-09 · Median 64 2026-08-10 · Median 64 2026-08-11 · Median 64 2026-08-13 · Median 64 2026-08-14 · Median 64 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 64 2026-08-19 · Median 64 2026-08-20 · Median 64 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.1 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-07-23 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2465
2026-09-2265
2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1665
2026-09-1565
2026-09-1465.1
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263
2026-09-0163
2026-08-2863
2026-08-2763
2026-08-2064
2026-08-1964
2026-08-1864
2026-08-1764
2026-08-1664
2026-08-1464
2026-08-1364
2026-08-1164
2026-08-1064
2026-08-0964
2026-08-0864
2026-08-0764
2026-08-0564
2026-08-0364
2026-08-0164
2026-07-3164
2026-07-3064
2026-07-2964
2026-07-2864
2026-07-2764
2026-07-2664
2026-07-2564
2026-07-2464
2026-07-2368

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.083

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.335

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 22.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G60
PA268
AVG.252
OBP.380
SLG.335
OPS.715
HR0
SB14
BB%15.3%
K%22.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
596570
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 48

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 11
MLB / Model WatchMLB #61 MLB Top 100
Confidence89
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production39.4
Historical 80% error band21–58
MLB arrival in 3 years6%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed55Avg
Defense icon
Defense70Plus-Plus
Arm icon
Arm70Plus-Plus
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Defensive Anchor

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Kannapolis Cannon BallersSingle-A572572073653132020415813.256.388.338.726
2026ACL White SoxACL31111121001011.182.182.273.455
20262 teams · TotalAll levels602682183755142021415914.252.380.335.715

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Chicago White Sox profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.