Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Blake Townsend

TEX · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#2,060
Score47.2
Baseline44
Signal-17.9
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline44
Ceiling51
Confidence61 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Blake Townsend

TEX · AA · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 25.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,060
Prospect Score47.2
Median44
Performance Signal-17.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 44
55 46.5 38 2026-08-16 · Median 43 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 42.6 2026-08-25 · Median 42.6 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.7 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-10-04 · Median 44 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0444
2026-10-0344
2026-09-3044
2026-09-2944
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2144
2026-09-1944
2026-09-1844
2026-09-1744
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1450.7
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0242
2026-09-0142
2026-08-2842
2026-08-2742
2026-08-2542.6
2026-08-2342.6
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1643

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.7
Projected range17–62
Arrival probability26%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.