Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Blake Wolters

KC · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.4#1,161 Overall
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Performance38Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor49Lower-end outcome
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Ceiling60High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
38Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.0 K/9Near expected range
Command5.1 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.8 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider50
Changeup45
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-02

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh90How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.2
Projected Range17–59
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 55
59 54.5 50 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.8 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-10-05 · Median 55 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0555
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
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2026-09-1454.8
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254