Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Braedon Karpathios

SD · AAA · RF

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#474
Prospect Score63.1
Median59
Performance Signal+13.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 59
65 55.5 46 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.2 2026-08-25 · Median 50.2 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 59.9 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.9
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2550.2
2026-08-2350.2
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651
2026-08-1450

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 94
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence94
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection33.2
Projected range16–51
Arrival probability56%
Productive role probability7%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.