Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Braedon Karpathios

SD · AAA · RF

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#478
Prospect Score63
Median59
Performance50
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 56th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.166

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+3.6 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 37
Game Power+5.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 56

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 59
65 53 41 2026-06-04 · Median 45 2026-06-05 · Median 45 2026-06-06 · Median 48 2026-06-07 · Median 50 2026-06-08 · Median 50 2026-06-09 · Median 50 2026-06-10 · Median 50 2026-06-11 · Median 50 2026-06-12 · Median 50 2026-06-13 · Median 49 2026-06-14 · Median 48 2026-06-15 · Median 48 2026-06-16 · Median 48 2026-06-17 · Median 48 2026-06-18 · Median 49 2026-06-19 · Median 49 2026-06-20 · Median 49 2026-06-21 · Median 48 2026-06-22 · Median 49 2026-06-23 · Median 49 2026-06-24 · Median 48 2026-06-25 · Median 48 2026-06-26 · Median 48 2026-06-28 · Median 48 2026-06-29 · Median 47 2026-06-30 · Median 47 2026-07-01 · Median 47 2026-07-03 · Median 49 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 48 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 49 2026-07-14 · Median 48 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 48 2026-07-24 · Median 48 2026-07-25 · Median 48 2026-07-26 · Median 48 2026-07-27 · Median 48 2026-07-28 · Median 48 2026-07-29 · Median 47 2026-07-30 · Median 48 2026-07-31 · Median 47 2026-08-01 · Median 48 2026-08-03 · Median 48 2026-08-05 · Median 49 2026-08-07 · Median 49 2026-08-08 · Median 50 2026-08-09 · Median 50 2026-08-10 · Median 50 2026-08-11 · Median 50 2026-08-13 · Median 50 2026-08-14 · Median 50 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.2 2026-08-25 · Median 50.2 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 59.9 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2559
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Metrics to follow

ISO 0.166

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.423

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 32.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G130
PA544
AVG.258
OBP.344
SLG.423
OPS.768
HR17
SB6
BB%11.8%
K%32.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 50

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence94
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production33.2
Historical 80% error band16–51
MLB arrival in 3 years56%
Productive MLB role in 3 years7%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit40Developmental
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels144000000010.000.000.000.000
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1977691022403157230.319.382.507.889
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026El Paso ChihuahuasAAA1034292300004120.103.212.103.316
2026San Antonio MissionsAA120510448621202231773601626.268.353.444.797
20262 teams · TotalAll levels130544477641232231773641746.258.344.423.768
2025San Antonio MissionsAA2188801018323108280.225.295.425.720
2025Fort Wayne TinCapsHigh-A10343336653931911255651189.254.370.410.779
20252 teams · TotalAll levels124521446631112231565731469.249.357.413.770
2024Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A11953442979108292857951455.252.388.385.772
2023Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A4216111623216201044502.181.410.267.677
2023ACL PadresACL20826118226201219164.361.512.5251.037
20232 teams · TotalAll levels62243177414312402263666.243.444.356.800
2022ACL PadresACL72119240014250.211.286.368.654

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More San Diego Padres profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.