Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Brailer Guerrero

TB · Single-A · RF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,955
Score48.0
Baseline45
Signal-8.8
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline45
Ceiling53
Confidence60 Risk16 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Brailer Guerrero

TB · Single-A · RF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 20.3 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,955
Prospect Score48.0
Median45
Performance Signal-8.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 45
52 44 36 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 40 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 40 2026-08-25 · Median 40 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 44.4 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1444.4
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2540
2026-08-2340
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1940
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 16
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 16
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection31.5
Projected range13–50
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.