Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Brandt Thompson

STL · AAA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#537
Prospect Score62.1
Median58
Performance Signal+1.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 58
63 55.5 48 2026-07-16 · Median 56 2026-07-21 · Median 55 2026-07-22 · Median 55 2026-07-23 · Median 55 2026-07-24 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.7 2026-08-25 · Median 55.7 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 57.8 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-07-16 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1457.8
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2555.7
2026-08-2355.7
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2055
2026-07-2452
2026-07-2355
2026-07-2255
2026-07-2155
2026-07-1656

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.3
Projected range25–70
Arrival probability59%
Productive role probability11%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.