Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Brayden Bakes

PHI · Single-A · OF · Age 22

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score31.5#4,373 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling48High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.651 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact34.6% KContact risk
On-base foundation.255 OBPOn-base output is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping41How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited72Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationPhiladelphia Phillies
LevelSingle-A
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 37
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.1 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
2026-09-2437
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1436.1
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236