Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Brayden Smith

STL · High-A · 2B · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score49.6#1,737 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Power.164 ISONear expected range
Contact27.5% KNear expected range
Approach12.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.0
Projected Range22–53
Arrival Probability25%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelHigh-A
Position2B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 47
51 46.5 42 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-10-05 · Median 47 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0547
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
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2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246