Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Braydon Risley

PIT · High-A · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 21.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#774
Prospect Score59.0
Median55
Performance Signal+3.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 55
60 41 22 2026-08-14 · Median 26 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 44.4 2026-08-25 · Median 44.4 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 55.3 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.3
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2544.4
2026-08-2344.4
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626
2026-08-1426

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.0
Projected range25–75
Arrival probability25%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.