Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Brett Gillis

HOU · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score33.6#4,066 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling39High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.5 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.9% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.16 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.3
Projected Range22–67
Arrival Probability10%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 32
36 31 26 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.7 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
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2026-09-3032
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2026-09-1430.7
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2026-09-0230