Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Brian Curley

ARI · AA · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#505
Prospect Score62.5
Median57
Performance Signal+4.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 57
61 52 43 2026-08-14 · Median 54 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 47 2026-08-25 · Median 47 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.8 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.8
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2547
2026-08-2347
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1454

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 88
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.7
Projected range28–73
Arrival probability33%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.