Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Bryan Mena

PIT · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,845
Score48.7
Baseline46
Signal-17.0
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline46
Ceiling53
Confidence61 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Bryan Mena

PIT · High-A · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,845
Prospect Score48.7
Median46
Performance Signal-17.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 46
50 45 40 2026-08-11 · Median 46 2026-08-13 · Median 46 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 45.7 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 44.5 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1444.5
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2045.7
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1446
2026-08-1346
2026-08-1146

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.1
Projected range15–57
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.