Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Bryan Rincon

PHI · AA · SS

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#127
Prospect Score73
Median69
Performance67
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 45; game-power evidence sits near the 92th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.250

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+33.4 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 75
Game Power+50.1 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 92

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 71 Latest recorded 69
75 68.5 62 2026-06-04 · Median 71 2026-06-05 · Median 70 2026-06-06 · Median 71 2026-06-07 · Median 69 2026-06-08 · Median 68 2026-06-09 · Median 68 2026-06-10 · Median 70 2026-06-11 · Median 70 2026-06-12 · Median 69 2026-06-13 · Median 69 2026-06-14 · Median 69 2026-06-15 · Median 68 2026-06-16 · Median 67 2026-06-17 · Median 67 2026-06-18 · Median 66 2026-06-19 · Median 66 2026-06-20 · Median 68 2026-06-21 · Median 68 2026-06-22 · Median 68 2026-06-23 · Median 68 2026-06-24 · Median 68 2026-06-25 · Median 67 2026-06-26 · Median 67 2026-06-28 · Median 68 2026-06-29 · Median 67 2026-06-30 · Median 67 2026-07-01 · Median 68 2026-07-03 · Median 68 2026-07-05 · Median 68 2026-07-07 · Median 69 2026-07-09 · Median 69 2026-07-11 · Median 69 2026-07-12 · Median 69 2026-07-14 · Median 68 2026-07-16 · Median 68 2026-07-21 · Median 68 2026-07-22 · Median 67 2026-07-23 · Median 67 2026-07-24 · Median 66 2026-07-25 · Median 66 2026-07-26 · Median 68 2026-07-27 · Median 68 2026-07-28 · Median 68 2026-07-29 · Median 68 2026-07-30 · Median 68 2026-07-31 · Median 67 2026-08-01 · Median 69 2026-08-03 · Median 69 2026-08-05 · Median 69 2026-08-07 · Median 68 2026-08-08 · Median 68 2026-08-09 · Median 68 2026-08-10 · Median 69 2026-08-11 · Median 69 2026-08-13 · Median 68 2026-08-14 · Median 68 2026-08-16 · Median 68 2026-08-17 · Median 68 2026-08-18 · Median 68 2026-08-19 · Median 67 2026-08-20 · Median 67 2026-08-22 · Median 69 2026-08-23 · Median 69.3 2026-08-25 · Median 69.3 2026-08-27 · Median 70 2026-08-28 · Median 70 2026-09-01 · Median 70 2026-09-02 · Median 70 2026-09-03 · Median 69 2026-09-05 · Median 69 2026-09-06 · Median 69 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 68.7 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 69 2026-09-22 · Median 69 2026-09-24 · Median 69 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2469
2026-09-2269
2026-09-2169
2026-09-1969
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
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2026-09-1569
2026-09-1468.7
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2026-09-0569
2026-09-0369
2026-09-0270
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2026-08-2870
2026-08-2770
2026-08-2569.3
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2026-08-1967
2026-08-1868
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2026-08-1069
2026-08-0968
2026-08-0868
2026-08-0768
2026-08-0569
2026-08-0369
2026-08-0169
2026-07-3167
2026-07-3068
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2026-06-2068
2026-06-1966
2026-06-1866
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2026-06-1170
2026-06-1070
2026-06-0968
2026-06-0868
2026-06-0769
2026-06-0671
2026-06-0570
2026-06-0471

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.250

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.517

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 20.8%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G118
PA534
AVG.267
OBP.410
SLG.517
OPS.927
HR26
SB30
BB%17.8%
K%20.8%

Reading Fightin Phils · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
656973
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 67

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #100 MLB Top 100
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.0
Historical 80% error band31–65
MLB arrival in 3 years83%
Productive MLB role in 3 years16%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power45Fringe
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Defensive Anchor

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels15694812121061117124.250.464.6461.110
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Reading Fightin PhilsAA1185344249211324226679511130.267.410.517.927
2025Jersey Shore BlueClawsHigh-A8435929958541326315010340.181.304.298.602
2024Jersey Shore BlueClawsHigh-A3314011425239021523448.202.336.333.669
2024Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A287110000120.143.250.143.393
20242 teams · TotalAll levels3514812126249021524468.198.331.322.653
2023Jersey Shore BlueClawsHigh-A187762131640079134.258.364.323.686
2023Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A813482764963131845596323.228.369.370.738
20232 teams · TotalAll levels994253386279171852687627.234.368.361.729
2022FCL PhilliesFCL124234762029674.176.317.412.729

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Philadelphia Phillies profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.