Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Cade Smith

NYY · AA · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 24.5 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Stuff not yet translating

The verified pitch-quality expectation is running ahead of current bat-missing results

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#937
Prospect Score57
Median55
Performance42
Trend-0.2%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 30th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 8.6

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-36.6 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 30
Command+4.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 47

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 55
60 48.5 37 2026-06-04 · Median 41 2026-06-05 · Median 41 2026-06-06 · Median 41 2026-06-07 · Median 41 2026-06-08 · Median 41 2026-06-09 · Median 41 2026-06-10 · Median 41 2026-06-11 · Median 43 2026-06-12 · Median 43 2026-06-13 · Median 43 2026-06-14 · Median 43 2026-06-15 · Median 43 2026-06-16 · Median 43 2026-06-17 · Median 44 2026-06-18 · Median 44 2026-06-19 · Median 44 2026-06-20 · Median 44 2026-06-21 · Median 44 2026-06-22 · Median 44 2026-06-23 · Median 44 2026-06-24 · Median 45 2026-06-25 · Median 45 2026-06-26 · Median 45 2026-06-28 · Median 45 2026-06-29 · Median 45 2026-06-30 · Median 45 2026-07-01 · Median 45 2026-07-03 · Median 48 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 47 2026-07-09 · Median 47 2026-07-11 · Median 47 2026-07-12 · Median 47 2026-07-14 · Median 47 2026-07-16 · Median 47 2026-07-21 · Median 47 2026-07-22 · Median 47 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-07-24 · Median 47 2026-07-25 · Median 47 2026-07-26 · Median 47 2026-07-27 · Median 47 2026-07-28 · Median 47 2026-07-29 · Median 47 2026-07-30 · Median 46 2026-07-31 · Median 46 2026-08-01 · Median 46 2026-08-03 · Median 46 2026-08-05 · Median 46 2026-08-07 · Median 46 2026-08-08 · Median 46 2026-08-09 · Median 46 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 47.1 2026-08-25 · Median 47.1 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.5 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2555
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2026-09-1455.5
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2026-06-0441

Metrics to follow

K/9 8.6

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 11.7%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.0

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G25
IP124.2
ERA5.27
WHIP1.48
K/98.6
BB/94.0
K-BB%11.7%

Somerset Patriots · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.2%
505560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 42

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.1
Historical 80% error band20–66
MLB arrival in 3 years23%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball55Avg
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels007.5333014.1161312210141.818.79
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Somerset PatriotsAA785.2725240124.2130767322551191.488.59
2025Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A212.7688032.2201010216351.109.64
2025Tampa TarponsSingle-A003.381102.23110031.1310.13
2025FCL YankeesFCL000.002204.11000240.698.31
20253 teams · TotalAll levels212.501111039.2241111218421.069.53
2024Hudson Valley RenegadesHigh-A015.632208.04551370.887.88
2024Tampa TarponsSingle-A663.471917085.25939335401111.1611.66
20242 teams · TotalAll levels673.652119093.26344386431181.1311.34

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More New York Yankees profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.