Player profile
Caden Ferraro
St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 21.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 3, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.
PB Rank#1,073
Prospect Score55.4
Median54
Performance Signal+1.3
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
455462
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.3
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 45
Latest recorded 54
2026-10-03 · Median 54
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 54 |
| 2026-09-30 | 54 |
| 2026-09-29 | 54 |
| 2026-09-25 | 54 |
| 2026-09-24 | 54 |
| 2026-09-22 | 54 |
| 2026-09-21 | 54 |
| 2026-09-19 | 54 |
| 2026-09-18 | 54 |
| 2026-09-17 | 54 |
| 2026-09-16 | 54 |
| 2026-09-15 | 54 |
| 2026-09-14 | 54.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 54 |
| 2026-09-06 | 54 |
| 2026-09-05 | 54 |
| 2026-09-03 | 53 |
| 2026-09-02 | 51 |
| 2026-09-01 | 51 |
| 2026-08-28 | 49 |
| 2026-08-27 | 49 |
| 2026-08-25 | 44.1 |
| 2026-08-23 | 44.1 |
| 2026-08-22 | 45 |
| 2026-08-20 | 45 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
50
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
4
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.