Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Caden Monke

KC · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,678
Score23.2
Baseline26
Signal-28.6
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline26
Ceiling36
Confidence59 Risk46 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Caden Monke

KC · AA · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 27.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,678
Prospect Score23.2
Median26
Performance Signal-28.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 26
34 28 22 2026-07-16 · Median 30 2026-07-21 · Median 30 2026-07-22 · Median 30 2026-07-23 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 27.5 2026-08-25 · Median 27.5 2026-08-27 · Median 27 2026-08-28 · Median 27 2026-09-01 · Median 26 2026-09-02 · Median 26 2026-09-03 · Median 26 2026-09-05 · Median 26 2026-09-06 · Median 26 2026-09-09 · Median 26 2026-09-14 · Median 26.6 2026-09-15 · Median 27 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-07-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1527
2026-09-1426.6
2026-09-0926
2026-09-0626
2026-09-0526
2026-09-0326
2026-09-0226
2026-09-0126
2026-08-2827
2026-08-2727
2026-08-2527.5
2026-08-2327.5
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-07-2330
2026-07-2230
2026-07-2130
2026-07-1630

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 46
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.6

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 46
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.0
Projected range11–61
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.