Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Caleb Cali

SEA · AA · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#5,002
Score27.3
Baseline30
Signal-29.7
Trend0.0
Floor22
Baseline30
Ceiling37
Confidence60 Risk44 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Caleb Cali

SEA · AA · 3B

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 26.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#5,002
Prospect Score27.3
Median30
Performance Signal-29.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
223037
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 30
37 31 25 2026-08-16 · Median 32 2026-08-17 · Median 32 2026-08-18 · Median 32 2026-08-19 · Median 32 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 32.2 2026-08-25 · Median 32.2 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 30 2026-09-14 · Median 29.6 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1530
2026-09-1429.6
2026-09-0930
2026-09-0630
2026-09-0530
2026-09-0330
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2532.2
2026-08-2332.2
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032
2026-08-1932
2026-08-1832
2026-08-1732
2026-08-1632

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 44
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
223037
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.7

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 44
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection28.7
Projected range11–46
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.