Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Cameron Nelson

COL · High-A · OF

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#988
Prospect Score56.3
Median52
Performance Signal+4.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 52
56 44.5 33 2026-08-10 · Median 37 2026-08-11 · Median 37 2026-08-13 · Median 37 2026-08-14 · Median 39 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 38.9 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2038.9
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1439
2026-08-1337
2026-08-1137
2026-08-1037

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
455259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.5
Projected range29–60
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.