Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carlos Rodríguez

SD · AAA · RF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,318
Score52.9
Baseline50
Signal-0.6
Trend0.0
Floor43
Baseline50
Ceiling56
Confidence63 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carlos Rodríguez

SD · AAA · RF

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 25.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,318
Prospect Score52.9
Median50
Performance Signal-0.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435056
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 50
57 51.5 46 2026-07-21 · Median 52 2026-07-22 · Median 53 2026-07-23 · Median 53 2026-07-24 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 51.1 2026-08-25 · Median 51.1 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.1
2026-08-2351.1
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-07-2453
2026-07-2353
2026-07-2253
2026-07-2152

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435056
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.2
Projected range26–61
Arrival probability63%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.