Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carlos Tejera

PIT · FCL · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#676
Score60.2
Baseline56
Signal+13.3
Trend0.0
Floor48
Baseline56
Ceiling64
Confidence78 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carlos Tejera

PIT · FCL · OF

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 18.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#676
Prospect Score60.2
Median56
Performance Signal+13.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
485664
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 56
61 55.5 50 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 55.4 2026-08-25 · Median 55.4 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2555.4
2026-08-2355.4
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 78
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
485664
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence78
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.5
Projected range27–64
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.