Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Carson Fischer

WSH · High-A · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 24.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,376
Prospect Score52.4
Median49
Performance Signal+11.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 49
53 46 39 2026-08-14 · Median 43 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 43.5 2026-08-25 · Median 43.1 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.7 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.7
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2543.1
2026-08-2343.5
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1443

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.5
Projected range27–69
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.