Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carson Revay

BOS · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,264
Score25.6
Baseline32
Signal-1.8
Trend-0.4
Floor20
Baseline32
Ceiling43
Confidence34 Risk80 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Carson Revay

BOS · Single-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 22.9 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,264
Prospect Score25.6
Median32
Performance Signal-1.8
Trend-0.4

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.4
203243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 32
41 34 27 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 31 2026-08-23 · Median 31.2 2026-08-25 · Median 31.2 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32.4 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1432.4
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2531.2
2026-08-2331.2
2026-08-2231
2026-08-2037

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 34
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 80
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.4
203243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.8

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 80
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence34
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.