Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Carson Roccaforte

KC · AAA · CF · Age 25

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score65.4#369 Overall
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Ceiling64High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
55Solid current performance
Power.261 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact29.1% KContact risk
Approach10.5% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power50
Run55
Field60
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.6
Projected Range23–58
Arrival Probability86%
Productive Role Probability19%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelAAA
PositionCF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 60
65 60 55 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.2 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-10-05 · Median 60 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0560
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
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2026-09-2159
2026-09-1959
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2026-09-1460.2
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0259