Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Carson Tinney

MIN · Single-A · C · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score60.3#664 Overall
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor51Lower-end outcome
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Power.329 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact26.7% KNear expected range
Approach21.9% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping52How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh8Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.5
Projected Range30–67
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 60
64 58.5 53 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.7 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-10-05 · Median 60 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0560
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
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2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.7
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0257