Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Carson Tinney

MIN · Single-A · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#664
Score60.3
Baseline60
Signal+7.0
Trend+0.2
Floor51
Baseline60
Ceiling68
Confidence52 Risk8 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Carson Tinney

MIN · Single-A · C

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 21.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#664
Prospect Score60.3
Median60
Performance Signal+7.0
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
516068
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 60
64 52 40 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 51.1 2026-08-25 · Median 51.1 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.7 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.7
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2551.1
2026-08-2351.1
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 52
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 8
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
516068
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 8
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence52
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.5
Projected range30–67
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.