Player profile
Carter Frederick
Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 24.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.
PB Rank#4,875
Prospect Score28.1
Median34
Performance Signal0.0
Trend-1.1
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range-1.1
213446
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 35
Latest recorded 34
2026-10-04 · Median 34
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 34 |
| 2026-10-03 | 34 |
| 2026-09-30 | 34 |
| 2026-09-29 | 34 |
| 2026-09-25 | 34 |
| 2026-09-24 | 34 |
| 2026-09-22 | 34 |
| 2026-09-21 | 34 |
| 2026-09-19 | 34 |
| 2026-09-18 | 34 |
| 2026-09-17 | 34 |
| 2026-09-16 | 34 |
| 2026-09-15 | 34 |
| 2026-09-14 | 34.4 |
| 2026-09-09 | 34 |
| 2026-09-06 | 35 |
| 2026-09-05 | 35 |
| 2026-09-03 | 35 |
| 2026-09-02 | 35 |
| 2026-09-01 | 35 |
| 2026-08-28 | 35 |
| 2026-08-27 | 35 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Declining
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
33
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
71
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.