Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Celwin Hurkmans

TOR · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score24.8#5,394 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance36Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
36Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.2 K/9Near expected range
Command8.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.25 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited34How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited82Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 32
37 32.5 28 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32.5 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1432.5
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232